Goody’s Fast Relief 500 Betting Lines - Free Pick

Date: 
October 30, 1:00 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Joey Logano took the checkered flag at Talladega last Sunday and I took home a nice +1200 payout since he was my top valued pick to win that race. Brian Scott ended up second and Denny Hamlin squeezed his way into the next round by finishing third.

The following is a look at a few of the top favorites to win this Sunday’s race along with my top value pick based on betting odds provided by 5Dimes Sportsbook.

 

Race Favorites

The Sprint Cup standings have once again been reshuffled heading into the next round of this year’s Chase and even though Kyle Busch was the last of the eight drivers to qualify he comes into this race as a +425 favorite to move to the top of the list with a win. The No. 18 Toyota has done just enough over the past six races to keep this team’s title hopes alive, but if Busch wants to successfully defend his 2015 title he is going to have to get back to his winning ways that led to four victories this season, including one in the first race at Martinsville this year.

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The second-favorite on this week’s list to win is Jimmie Johnson at +500 betting odds. He was able to break through with a much needed victory at Charlotte a few weeks back to punch his ticket to this round. This is the first time that the No. 48 Chevrolet race team has made it into the final field of eight drivers under the new rules of the Chase, which makes Johnson one of the more dangerous wildcards in pursuit of his seventh career Sprint Cup title. He adds some serious value to his odds to win on Sunday with eight career victories at this track in a Sprint Cup race. His average finishing position at Martinsville is an impressive 7.5.

The highlight reel of Denny Hamlin’s Chase this season includes a sixth-place finish at Chicago in the first race to go along with last week’s third-place run. This makes him another veteran driver that needs to start winning some races to get serious about winning his first career Sprint Cup title. Hamlin has been listed as a +575 third-favorite to get a much needed victory this Sunday behind the wheel of the No. 11 Toyota. His first trip to Martinsville this season ended with a 39th-place finish due to a wreck, but this followed a win and a third-place finish in two races here in 2015. His average finishing position at this track is a solid 9.5.

Goody’s Fast Relief 500 Prediction

Of the eight drivers that are still in contention for this season’s Sprint Cup title, Matt Kenseth might offer the best value at slightly longer +1000 odds to win this Sunday. With the exception of last week’s fade to 28th in the final running order, he has been one of the more consistent Chase drivers this season with two runner-up finishes at New Hampshire and Charlotte as part of five Top 10 runs in six events. The one drain on these odds is Kenseth’s 15.1 average finishing position at Martinsville over the course of his Sprint Cup career, but he did guide the No. 20 Toyota a sixth-place finish or better in four of his last six trips around this track.

Free Pick: 
Take Matt Kenseth +1000

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