Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Odds - Free Pick

June 19, 7:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Nationals -110 / Marlins +100

It’s the 42-27 Washington Nationals versus the 30-37 Miami Marlins in the first game of a three-game set at Marlins Park in Miami, Florida tonight. The first pitch at Marlins Park is scheduled to be thrown at 7:10 PM ET.

The Nationals hold favoritism for this game listed on MLB betting boards in the -106 to -120 range. The Over/Under for this game is a consensus line of 9.5 runs.

In their last game, the Nationals lost to the New York Mets 5-1. In that contest, the Nationals scored one run on only four hits and the Mets scored five runs on 11 hits.

In their last game the Marlins lost to the Atlanta Braves 5-4. In the match, the Marlins scored four runs on nine hits and the Braves scored five runs also on nine hits.

This season the Nationals rank 4th in the Majors in runs scored and tied for 10th in team ERA.

The Marlins rank tied for 16th in the Majors in runs scored and 19th in team ERA.


Pitching Match Up

Washington: Tanner Roark (6-4, 4.39 ERA)
Miami: Justin Nicolino (0-1, 4.15 ERA)

Tanner Roark goes for the Nationals in the first game of this NL East series and in his last start he was shelled giving up seven earned runs in five innings in a 13-2 loss to the Atlanta Braves. The Nationals have lost his last two starts where he has gone 11 innings and given up 12 runs and his last three starts he has given up a total of 16 runs. In 19 career appearances, including 13 starts, against the Marlins Roark is 5-8 with an ERA of 3.76. He faced the Marlins in his season debut in Washington and went six innings and gave up two earned runs in a 6-4 Nationals win. Overall the Nationals are 26-12 in Roark’s last 38 starts and 13-5 in his last 18 road starts.

Justin Nicolino gets the nod for the Marlins tonight and in his last start he left after throwing three scoreless innings with an injury in a 7-2 win over the Philadelphia Phillies. He has not started a game since May 30th and in three starts this season the Marlins have won twice with each game at home. In Nicolino two home starts this season he has only given up one run in nine innings. In four career games, including three starts, against Washington Nicolino is 0-3 with a less than stellar ERA of 8.10. The Marlins have lost five of his last seven home starts and they have lost 11 of his last 12 starts facing a team with a winning record.

Betting Angles

The Nationals are 4-1 in their last5 games against the Marlins.

In the last 21 games between these teams the Under record is 14-6-1.

In the last 26 games between these teams in Miami the Under record is 19-7.

This season the Marlins are 16-16 at home and the Nationals are 24-13 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Washington Nationals: 42-27 SU / O/U 35-31 / Run Line W/L 35-34
Miami Marlins: 30-37 SU / O/U 38-25 / Run Line W/L 33-34

Washington at Miami Key Betting Trends

  • WASH is 12-3 in their last 14 road games
  • WASH is 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter
  • WASH has an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 games
  • MIA is 5-0 in their last 5 home games
  • MIA is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter
  • MIA has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 home games

Key Player Injuries

[LF] 05/24/2017 - Chris Heisey 10-day DL (05/24) ( Bicep )
[LF] 06/06/2017 - Jayson Werth 10-day DL (06/04) ( Foot )
[CF] 06/02/2017 - Adam Eaton 60-day DL (04/29) ( ACL )
[P] 06/11/2017 - Koda Glover 10-day DL (06/11) ( Back )
[P] 04/20/2017 - Sammy Solis 10-day DL (04/19) ( Elbow )

[SS] 05/09/2017 - Miguel Rojas 60-day DL (05/09) ( Thumb )
[3B] 05/08/2017 - Martin Prado 10-day DL (05/08) ( Hamstring )
[SS] 05/11/2017 - Adeiny Hechavarria 10-day DL (05/10) ( Oblique )
[P] 05/17/2017 - Junichi Tazawa 10-day DL (05/16) ( Ribs )
[P] 06/01/2017 - Justin Nicolino 10-day DL (05/31) ( Finger )
[P] 05/06/2017 - Wei-Yin Chen 10-day DL (05/02) ( Arm )

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

The Nationals had their three-game win streak snapped in their last game and they are in first place in the NL East with a 10.5 game lead over the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets. Washington has totaled 22 runs in winning three in a row before only scoring one run in their last game. The Nationals have won 12 of their last 15 road games and Bryce Harper is riding an 11-game hitting streak. After winning three in a row the Marlins have lost their last two games and they are 11 games back of the Nats in the NL East. They are back at home after loosing two of three games to the Braves in their last series and they have won their last five home games. Tyler Moore is swinging a hot bat and he has five HR in his last 12 games. Raork was lit up in his last start and I look for him to struggle again. On the other side of the coin Nicolino will have a good outing in his first of the month and lead the Marlins to the win.

Free Pick: 
Take the Marlins +100

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