Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Odds - Free MLB Pick

July 17, 7:00 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Red Sox -111 / Blue Jays +103

In Monday MLB betting action, it’s the 42-49 Toronto Blue Jays versus the 52-41 Boston Red Sox in the first game of a four-game set at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts tonight. The first pitch for the opene at Fenway Park is scheduled to be tossed at 7 PM ET.

The Bosox are a moderate -11 to -116 moneyline favorite over the visiting Jays with the total line being offered up on most boards at 9.5 runs

In their last game the Blue Jays lost to the Detroit Tigers 6-5 in 11 innings. In the game the Blue Jays scored five runs on 10 hits and the Tigers scored six runs on eight hits. The Tigers scored the winning run in the 11th on a bases loaded walk.

In their last game the Red Sox beat the New York Yankees 3-0. In the game the Red Sox scored three runs on eight hits and the Yankees were held scoreless also on eight hits.

This season the Blue Jays rank 26th in the Majors in runs scored and 18th in team ERA.

The Red Sox rank 10th in the Majors in runs scored and 3rd in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Toronto: Marcus Stroman (9-5, 3.28 ERA)
Boston: Eduardo Rodriguez (4-2, 3.54 ERA)

Marcus Stroman gets the call tonight for the Blue Jays and in his last start he was solid only giving up one earned run in seven innings in a 7-2 win over the Houston Astros. The Blue Jays have won two of his last three games and in that span he has only given up three earned runs in 19 innings of work. Stroman faced the Red Sox early this season and did not have a good outing going only four innings and giving up six earned runs in an 8-7 Toronto loss. In Stroman’s career facing the Red Sox he is 4-2 with an ERA of 5.07. Toronto has won nine of his last 12 starts, but they have lost 13 of his last 19 road starts.

Eduardo Rodriguez goes for the Red Sox in the opening game of this four-game series and he makes his first start since June 1st after coming off the DL with a knee injury. In his last start he was lit up for seven earned runs in five innings in a 7-5 loss to the Baltimore Orioles. The Red Sox had won his previous four starts where he went 26 innings and gave up seven earned runs. Rodriguez pitched an inning of relief early this season and the Red Sox have lost four of his last five starts against the Blue Jays. Boston has won four of his last five home starts and they have won his last four starts against a team with a winning record.

Betting Angles

The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Blue Jays.

The Blue Jays are 6-2 in their last 8 games against the Blue Jays in Boston.

In the last 4 games between these teams in Boston the total has gone Under every time.

This season the Red Sox are 27-16 at home and the Blue Jays are 20-25 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Toronto Blue Jays: 42-49 SU / O/U 44-41 / Run Line W/L 39-52
Boston Red Sox: 52-41 SU / O/U 42-47 / Run Line W/L 47-46

Toronto at Boston Key Betting Trends

  • TOR is 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record
  • TOR is 6-15 in their last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter
  • TOR has an Over record of 6-1-1 in their last8 games
  • BOS is 15-7 in their last 22 home games
  • BOS is 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record
  • BOS has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 home games

Key Player Injuries

[P] 04/09/2017 - Bo Schultz 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )
[CF] 04/03/2017 - Dalton Pompey 60-day DL (03/30) ( Concussion )
[CF] 05/20/2017 - Darrell Ceciliani 10-day DL (05/19) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 05/24/2017 - Anthony Alford 10-day DL (05/24) ( Wrist )
[P] 06/06/2017 - J.P. Howell 10-day DL (06/05) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/19/2017 - Joe Smith 10-day DL (06/19) ( Shoulder )
[3B] 06/16/2017 - Chris Coghlan 10-day DL (06/16) ( Wrist )
[2B] 07/01/2017 - Devon Travis 60-day DL (06/06) ( Knee )
[C] 07/05/2017 - Luke Maile 10-day DL (07/04) ( Knee )

[SS] 05/28/2017 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (05/04) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/28/2017 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (04/01) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/28/2017 - Tyler Thornburg 60-day DL (04/01) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/28/2017 - Steven Wright 60-day DL (04/30) ( Knee )
[P] 06/02/2017 - Eduardo Rodriguez 10-day DL (06/02) ( Knee )
[P] 06/16/2017 - Roenis Elias 60-day DL (04/01) ( Oblique )
[P] 06/15/2017 - Brian Johnson 10-day DL (06/15) ( Shoulder )
[2B] 06/24/2017 - Josh Rutledge 7-day DL (06/24) ( Concussion )
[P] 07/10/2017 - Robbie Ross Jr. 10-day DL (07/10) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/15/2017 - Joe Kelly 10-day DL (07/12) ( Hamstring )

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction 17 07 17

The Blue Jays won their first game after the All Star break, but then lost their last two games where they gave up a total of 17 runs. They are tied with the Baltimore Orioles in last place in the AL East nine games back of the Red Sox. The Red Sox salvaged a split in their last series with the New York Yankees and they have a three game lead over the Tampa Bay Rays and are 3.5 games up on the Yankees. The Boston pitching has been solid in their last several games, but their lineup has not total totaling 11 runs in their last six games. Stroman has been the best starter for the Blue Jays and he has six Quality Starts in his last eight starts including his last three. Rodriguez is fresh off the DL and while he will be rested the Blue Jays will not give him a good welcome back tagging him up for several runs. Stroman will have his4th straight good start and the Jays will take the first game of this division series.

Free Pick: 
Take the Blue Jays +103

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