Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners Moneyline Pick & Analysis

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners Moneyline Pick & Analysis

Darin Zank
Date: July 1, 7:15 pm
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Moneyline: TB -118/Sea +108
Total: 7.5un -120

Game Betting Analysis

Overview

The Tampa Bay Rays aim to continue their scoring spree after a dominant 15-4 victory in the series opener against the Seattle Mariners. On Saturday, George Kirby takes the mound for the Mariners against Tampa Bay's Tyler Glasnow in a matchup of right-handers.

Betting Odds

Betting odds initially favored the Rays at around -125, but early action has shifted the line to -120 in favor of Tampa Bay. The over/under is set at 7.5 runs.

Recent Performance

In Friday's game, the Rays overcame a four-run deficit, tying the score in the sixth inning and exploding for eight runs in the eighth to secure a comfortable win. Tampa Bay covered the run line at +125 and the game played over the total of 7.5 runs.

With the victory, the Rays extend their winning streak to three games and currently hold a one-game lead over Atlanta for the best record in baseball (57-28). The Mariners, on the other hand, suffered their third consecutive loss, falling to 38-42 on the season and sitting in 11th place in the American League playoff standings, 5.5 games behind sixth-place Toronto.

Pitching Match-Up

Saturday's pitching matchup features George Kirby, who has been solid with a 12-15 quality start record this season, against Tyler Glasnow, who has only managed one quality start out of six. Kirby has been in good form lately, allowing five earned runs and 17 hits over his last three starts. In his sole career start against Tampa Bay, Kirby pitched six shutout innings last season, contributing to a 3-2 Mariners victory.

Glasnow's performances have been inconsistent, with a recent strong outing against Kansas City but struggling in his previous two starts. He has a 1-6 record on quality starts this year. This will be his first career start against the Mariners.

Offensive Performance

Offensively, the Rays have been more productive against right-handed pitching, batting .262 with a .338 OBP and a .459 slugging percentage. The Mariners, on the other hand, have a slash line of .224/.308/.383 against right-handed pitching.

Bullpen Comparison

When it comes to the bullpens, the Mariners bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and a 2.72 K/BB ratio. The Rays bullpen holds a 3.71 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and a 2.09 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

In terms of trends, the Rays have a 23-18 record on the road and are 45-24 against right-handed starters. The Mariners have a 22-20 record at home but are 27-32 against right-handed starters. As for totals, the overs have hit 47 times in Rays games this season and 40 times in Mariners games. At T-Mobile Park, the overs have hit 21 times out of 41 games.

Rays vs. Mariners Betting Prediction 7/1/23

Tampa Bay owns a three-game winning streak while Seattle owns a three-game losing skid. The Rays also get our handicapping checkmarks in the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparison. Also, Tampa is 21 games over .500 against RH starters. We’re betting the Rays Saturday night.

Free Pick: Take the Rays -118
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