Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers Odds Analysis - Free MLB Pick

June 18, 1:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Tigers-110 / Rays -110
9.5 ov -105

It’s the 36-35 Tampa Bay Rays versus the 32-35 Detroit Tigers in the 4th game of a four-game set at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan today. The first pitch for the finale at Comerica Park is scheduled for 1:10 PM ET.

In Game 3 of this series yesterday the Rays beat the Tigers 3-2. In the game, the Rays scored three runs on eight hits and the Tigers scored two runs also on eight hits.

This season the Rays rank 8th in the Majors in runs scored and 8th in team ERA.

The Tigers rank 10th in the Majors in runs scored and 21st in team ERA.

This game is a “pick” on most MLB betting boards; meaning that you can take either side and lay -105 to -110 depending on where you lay your action. The total for this game is offered at 9.5 runs.


Pitching Match Up

Tampa Bay: Jacob Faria (2-0, 1.42 ERA)
Detroit: Buck Farmer (2-0, 3.52 ERA)

Jacob Faria gets the nod for the Rays in this series finale and he had a solid last start only giving up one earned run in six innings in an 8-1 win over the Toronto Blue Jays. He only has two career starts and previous to his last one was his MLB debut going six innings and only giving up a run in a 3-1 win over the Chicago White Sox. If Faria gets the win in this game he will become only the 2nd pitcher ever for Tampa Bay to win his first three starts. He has 13 strikeouts in his two starts and in spending most of this season in AAA ball he struck out 84 batters in only 58 innings of work.

Buck Farmer goes for the Tigers today and he was lit up in his last start giving up six earned runs in only two innings in a 7-6 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks. That was only his 3rd start of the season and he had won his first two not giving up any earned runs and only giving up six hits in 12 innings of work. Farmer came into this season 0-6 in his career and the Tigers are 2-8 in his last 10 starts overall. Farmer has one career appearances against the Rays giving up one run on two hits in one inning of relief.

Betting Angles

The Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games against the Rays.

The Tigers are 8-4 in their last 12 games against the Rays.

In the last 12 games between these teams in Detroit the Over record is 8-2-2.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Tampa Bay Rays: 36-35 SU / O/U 42-29 / Run Line W/L 37-34
Detroit Tigers: 32-35 SU / O/U 36-29 / Run Line W/L 34-33

Tampa Bay at Detroit Key Betting Trends

TB is 2-6 in their last 8 road games TB is 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter TB has an Over record of 8-2 in their last 10 games DET is 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League East DET is 1-4 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series DET has an Over record of 7-3 in their last 10 vs. American League East

Key Player Injuries

[SS] 06/07/2017 - Brad Miller 10-day DL (06/07) ( Groin )
[CF] 06/09/2017 - Kevin Kiermaier 10-day DL (06/09) ( Hip )
[LF] 06/09/2017 - Rickie Weeks Jr. 10-day DL (06/09) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/13/2017 - Matt Andriese 10-day DL (06/11) ( Hip )
[P] 06/01/2017 - Diego Moreno 10-day DL (05/22) ( Shoulder )
[3B] 06/01/2017 - Matt Duffy 60-day DL (04/02) ( Achilles )
[P] 06/01/2017 - Shawn Tolleson 60-day DL (04/01) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/01/2017 - Kevin Gadea 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/18/2017 - Xavier Cedeno 60-day DL (04/18) ( Forearm )
[P] 04/01/2017 - Nathan Eovaldi 60-day DL (03/10) ( Elbow )
[C] 04/01/2017 - Wilson Ramos 60-day DL (04/01) ( Knee )
[P] 04/03/2017 - Brad Boxberger 60-day DL (04/02) ( Side )

RF] 05/12/2017 - Jim Adduci 10-day DL (05/11) ( Oblique )
[DH] 06/16/2017 - Victor Martinez 10-day DL (06/15) ( Heart )

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction - 6/18/2017

The Rays had lost the first two games of this series and three straight overall before winning Game 3 yesterday. They are in 3rd place in the AL East 4.5 games back of the New York Yankees. Tampa Bay had given up 25 runs in losing three in a row before only giving up two runs in the win yesterday. The Tigers won the first two games of this series, but they have been slumping lately with only three wins in their last nine games. Detroit is in 3rd place in the AL Central 3.5 games back of the Cleveland Indians. Their lineup put up 18 runs in the first two games of this series before only scoring two in the game 3 loss. Jacob Faria has been great in the first two starts of his career and I look for that to continue. He will tame the Detroit bats and Farmer will have another tough outing. Add those things up and you get a Rays win and they will salvage a split in this series.

Free Pick: 
Take the Tampa Bay Rays -110

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