Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Lines - Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Lines - Prediction

The Green Man
Date: July 19, 7:05 pm
Location: PNC Park
TV: FSN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Brewers +135 / Pirates -145
Total: 8un -110

<p>
It’s the 39-51 Milwaukee Brewers 47-45 vs. Pittsburgh Pirates in the first of a three game series at PNC Park. The first pitch of the opening match is scheduled to be tossed at 7:05 PM ET on July 19, 2016.
</p>
<p>
In their last games: The Pirates beat the Washington Nationals 2-1 in 18 innings and the Brewers lost to the Cincinnati Reds 1-0. Pittsburgh scored two runs on 12 hits and gave up one run on eight hits in their marathon win over Washington. Milwaukee gave up one run on four hits and did not score any runs on four hits of their own in a pitching duel to take the loss.
</p>
<p>
The Brewers have lost four of their last five games and they are in 4th place in the NL Central 16 games back of the Chicago Cubs. Milwaukee has struggled this season at the plate and on the mound ranking 27th in runs scored and 21st in team ERA.
</p>
<p>
The Pirates had lost three in a row before a win in their last game. They are in 3rd place in the division nine games back of the Cubs. Pittsburgh ranks 14th in the Majors in runs scored and 15th in team ERA. The Pirates have only totaled eight runs in their last four games.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Milwaukee: Junior Guerra (6-2, 3.06 ERA)<br />
Pittsburgh: Jamison Taillon (2-1, 3.86 ERA)
</p>
<p>
Junior Guerra goes for the Brewers tonight and in his last outing he gave up three earned runs in five innings in a 5-1 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals. The Brewers had won his previous four starts. Tonight will be Guerra’s first start of the season against the Pirates. The Brewers are 6-0 in Guerra’s last six road starts.
</p>
<p>
Jamison Taillon takes the mound for the Pirates and in his last outing he gave up one earned run in six innings in an 8-1 win over the Seattle Mariners. The Pirates have won his last two starts. Before his last start Taillon had given up four earned runs in each of his previous two starts. Taillon is a rookie and he will be making his first career start against Milwaukee tonight.
</p>
<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Brewers.<br />
The Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 home games against the Brewers.<br />
In the last 10 games between these teams the Over record is 9-1.<br />
In the last 7 games between these teams in Pittsburgh the Over record is 6-1.<br />
This season the Pirates are 24-20 at home and the Brewers are 16-29 on the road.
</p>
<h2>
STRAIGHT UP / OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS<br />
</h2>
<p>
Milwaukee Brewers: 39-51 SU / O/U 43-41 / Run Line W/L 46-44<br />
Pittsburgh Pirates: 47-45 SU / O/U 54-37 / Run Line W/L 46-46
</p>
<h2>
Milwaukee at Pittsburgh Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
MIL is 5-14 in their last 19 road games.
</li>
<li>
MIL is 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
</li>
<li>
MIL has an Under record of 3-1-2 in their last 6 games.
</li>
<li>
PITT is 10-4 in their last 14 overall.
</li>
<li>
PITT is 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
</li>
<li>
PITT has an Over record of 25-9 in their last 34 home games.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>BREWERS</b><br />
[3B] 07/17/2016 - Hernan Perez "?" ( Foot )<br />
[P] 05/27/2016 - Chris Capuano 60-day DL (4/2) ( Elbow )<br />
[RF] 06/10/2016 - Domingo Santana 15-day DL (6/8) ( Elbow )<br />
[LF] 04/04/2016 - Rymer Liriano 60-day DL (3/25) ( Facial )<br />
[P] 04/04/2016 - Zach Jones 60-day DL (3/31) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 04/02/2016 - Yhonathan Barrios 60-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 04/01/2016 - Sean Nolin 60-day DL (3/25) ( Elbow )
</p>
<p>
<b>PIRATES</b><br />
[P] 05/24/2016 - Ryan Vogelsong 60-day DL (5/24) ( Eye )<br />
[C] 06/11/2016 - Francisco Cervelli 15-day DL (6/10) ( Hand )<br />
[RF] 07/16/2016 - Gregory Polanco 15-day DL ( Hamstring )<br />
[C] 07/04/2016 - Chris Stewart 15-day DL (7/2) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 07/04/2016 - Jameson Taillon 15-day DL (6/30) ( Shoulder )<br />
[C] 03/31/2016 - Elias Diaz 60-day DL (3/25) ( Elbow )
</p>

Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh Prediction

Not much history to go on with the starters and the betting trends support an over play here. Hmmm. The Brewers’ Junior Guerra has been very good all season with a stellar 1.07 WHIP and 3.06 ERA. He’s been good away from home with a 3.44 road earned run average and has allowed more than three runs just once in his last five road starts. The Pirates rookie starter has looked good for the most part with excellent control with 5 walks and 21 strike outs over 28 innings. Milwaukee has struggled all season to score and the Pittsburgh batters haven’t found their stroke since the break scoring three runs and hitting a meek .179 in their weekend set against Washington. 

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