Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins Odds Analysis - Free MLB Betting Prediction

Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins Odds Analysis - Free MLB Betting Prediction

The Green Man
Date: June 22, 7:10 pm
Location: Marlins Park
TV: FXFL

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Cubs -130 / Marlins +120
Total: 9ov -105

<p>
The 36-35 Chicago Cubs travel to take on the 32-38 Miami Marlins in the first game of a four-game set at Marlins Park in Miami, Florida tonight. The first pitch for the opening at Marlins Park is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET.
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<p>
The opening game of this series in Miami has the Marlins in the underdog role with Cubs being handicapped with a line in the -131 to -140 range. Most MLB boards have the total for this game at 9 runs.
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<p>
In their last game the Cubs lost to the San Diego Padres 3-2. In the game the Cubs scored two runs on only two hits and the Padres scored three runs on eight hits.
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<p>
In their last game the Marlins beat the Washington Nationals 2-1. In the game the Marlins scored two runs on only two hits and the Nationals scored one run on five hits. In the game the Marlins did not get a hit until the 8th inning where they scored their two runs.
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<p>
This season the Cubs rank tied for 16th in the Majors in runs scored and 7th in team ERA.
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<p>
The Marlins rank tied for 18th in the Majors in runs scored and 19th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Chicago: Jake Arrieta (6-5, 4.64 ERA)<br />
Miami: Jeff Locke (0-2, 4.58 ERA)
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<p>
Jake Arrieta takes the mound for the first game of this NL series and in his last start he gave up two earned runs in four innings in a 4-3 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Cubs had won his previous two starts and in his last two starts he has not lasted past the 5th inning and has given up a total of six earned runs. Arrieta faced the Marlins earlier this month in Chicago giving up two earned runs in six innings in a 10-2 Chicago win. In three career starts against Miami he is2-0 with an ERA of only 1.42. While the Cubs won 17 of Arrieta’s last 24 starts facing a team with a losing record they have lost his last six road starts.
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<p>
Jeff Locke goes for the Marlins tonight and in his last start he gave up three earned runs in four innings in an 8-7 loss to the Atlanta Braves. Since coming off the DL on June 1st he had four starts with the Marlins losing every one where he has totaled 18 innings and has given up 10 earned runs. He opposed Arrieta in the 10-2 Miami loss earlier this month where he gave up three earned runs in four innings. In13 career appearances, including 11 starts, against the Cubs Locke is 1-5 with an ERA of 5.98 with his only win facing them back in 2013. Locke has not lasted past the 5th inning in any of his four starts this season.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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<p>
The Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Marlins.
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<p>
The Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 home games against the Cubs.
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<p>
In the last 5 games between these teams in Miami the Over record is 4-1.
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<p>
This season the Marlins are 18-17 at home and the Cubs are 14-19 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
</h2>
<p>
Chicago Cubs: 36-35 SU / O/U 36-33 / Run Line W/L 26-45<br />
Miami Marlins: 32-38 SU / O/U 40-26 / Run Line W/L 35-35
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<h2>
Chicago at Miami Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
CHC is 3-11 in their last 14 road games
</li>
<li>
CHC is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss
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<li>
CHC has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 games
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<li>
MIA is 7-1 in their last 8 home games
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<li>
MIA is 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter
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<li>
MIA has an Over record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games
</li>
</ul>
<h3>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h3>
<p>
<b>CUBS</b><br />
[P] 06/09/2017 - Brett Anderson 60-day DL (05/07) ( Back )<br />
[P] 06/08/2017 - Kyle Hendricks 10-day DL (06/05) ( Hand )<br />
[2B] 06/16/2017 - Ben Zobrist 10-day DL (06/13) ( Wrist )<br />
[RF] 06/21/2017 - Jason Heyward "?" Thursday vs. Miami Marlins ( Hand )
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<p>
<b>MARLINS</b><br />
[3B] 05/08/2017 - Martin Prado 10-day DL (05/08) ( Hamstring )<br />
[P] 05/06/2017 - Wei-Yin Chen 10-day DL (05/02) ( Arm )<br />
[SS] 05/11/2017 - Adeiny Hechavarria 10-day DL (05/10) ( Oblique )<br />
[P] 05/17/2017 - Junichi Tazawa 10-day DL (05/16) ( Ribs )<br />
[SS] 05/09/2017 - Miguel Rojas 60-day DL (05/09) ( Thumb )
</p>

Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins Prediction for June 22/2017

The defending champion Cubs had won three in a row before losing their last game. They are in 2nd place in the NL Central 1.5 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers. While Chicago has not been lighting up the scoreboard lately their pitching has been solid only giving up a total of five runs in their last four games. Anthony Rizzo leads the Cubs in batting average, HR, and RBI and had his 14-game hitting streak snapped in his last game. In his last 15 games he is hitting .389 with five HR and 17 RBI. The Marlins have won two of their last three games and they have won seven of their last eight home games. They are in 3rd place in the NL East 10 games back of the Washington Nationals. Arrieta has been up and down lately and while the Cubs have lost his last six road starts in his last four road starts they have only given him four runs of support. He will have a decent outing again tonight and for a change on the road he will get run support, as the Cubs’ lineup will chase Locke out early. The Cubs will win the first game of this series and win their 4th game in their last five.

Free Pick: Take the Cubs -131
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