Sports Betting Stats

Odds to Win Super Bowl 48

The following is a look at a couple of the NFL's top favorites, contenders and my top value longshot to win this season's Super Bowl along with their current odds as provided by Bovada.

The Favorites

The numbers have been shuffled a bit since early February but the one constant at the top of this futures list has been the San Francisco 49ers. They are currently 6/1 favorites to take that next step and win it all this season. Since Jim Harbaugh left Stanford to take over the reins as head coach of this team, it has been one steady progression to the top. Two years ago the 49ers lost a heartbreaker in the NFC Championship and last season they came up just short in the Super Bowl. All the talent remains in place to win it all, but the one thing that drains the value out of these odds for me is the fact that the last time a team that lost a Super Bowl got back there the following year was in 1994 when the Buffalo Bills blew their third-straight shot at a title.

The next favorite at 13/2 is the Denver Broncos. Former Super Bowl winning quarterback and current team president John Elway pulled-off the free-agent signing of the decade when he lured Peyton Manning to this team. After missing an entire season recovering from neck surgery, he led the Broncos to an AFC-best 13-3 record in 2012. The offense was ranked fourth overall in the NFL and the defense was ranked second. Manning is well aware that a second Super Bowl title could very well seal his legacy as one of the top two or three quarterbacks to ever play the game and all the pieces are in place to make it happen.

The Contenders

The 49ers may be the favorite to win it all this season, but they will be looking over their shoulders all season long in their own division with the Seattle Seahawks firmly in place as 8/1 third-favorites to win the Super Bowl. Much of their chances will hinge on how well second-year quarterback Russell Wilson continues to progress after a stunning performance last season as a rookie. Everything else is in place to compete for the NFC West title including a dominating home-field advantage and a shutdown defense that was ranked first in the league last season in points allowed.

The top contender in the AFC has been a perennial favorite to win the Super Bowl for the past decade or so. The New England Patriots have been opened as 9/1 fourth-favorites to break an eight-year slump by finally adding a fourth Super Bowl title to their resume under the guidance of head coach Belichick. There is some concern for the passing offense with Wes Welker off to Denver, Rob Gronkowski off to get another surgery and Aaron Hernandez off to jail, but with Tom Brady throwing the ball this team will find someone to catch it.

The Longshots

The Ravens were not one of the favorites to win last year's Super Bowl and nobody expected the Giants to win it all in 2011, so there are a number of teams that have a shot to win it this season. I might have gone a bit overboard with this pick, but my top valued longshot on the board is the Philadelphia Eagles at 40/1. This team was a legitimate contender almost every season since 2000 with Andy Reid at the helm, but his last two seasons there go to show that you cannot stay in one place too long as a head coach in this league. Chip Kelly inherits a team that still has a number of playmakers on offense and the basic core of a solid defense. The one thing that is really in his favor in his first year in the NFL is the element of surprise. Nobody knows what to expect from this team on either side of the ball which could actually carry it pretty far.

Updated 2014 Super Bowl Odds

These are the Super Bowl odds that were available on August 1st at Bovada Sportsbook.

  • Denver Broncos 6/1
  • San Francisco 49ers 6/1
  • New England Patriots 9/1
  • Seattle Seahawks 9/1
  • Atlanta Falcons 12/1
  • Green Bay Packers 12/1
  • Houston Texans 18/1
  • New Orleans Saints 18/1
  • New York Giants 20/1
  • Baltimore Ravens 25/1
  • Chicago Bears 28/1
  • Pittsburgh Steelers 28/1
  • Cincinnati Bengals 33/1
  • Dallas Cowboys 33/1
  • Washington Redskins 33/1
  • Indianapolis Colts 40/1
  • Miami Dolphins 40/1
  • Minnesota Vikings 40/1
  • St. Louis Rams 40/1
  • Detroit Lions 50/1
  • Kansas City Chiefs 50/1
  • Philadelphia Eagles 50/1
  • San Diego Chargers 50/1
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers 50/1
  • Carolina Panthers 66/1
  • New York Jets 100/1
  • Arizona Cardinals 125/1
  • Buffalo Bills 150/1
  • Cleveland Browns 150/1
  • Tennessee Titans 150/1
  • Jacksonville Jaguars 200/1
  • Oakland Raiders 200/1

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