Sports Betting Stats

San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos Betting Pick

The San Diego Chargers will look to stay in the AFC wildcard chase with a victory over the Denver Broncos this Thursday night at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Kickoff for this AFC West tilt is set for 8:30 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on the NFL Network.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Denver -10
Moneyline: San Diego +450 Denver -600
Total line: 55.5

Chargers vs. Broncos Game Overview

San Diego is coming off an impressive 37-14 beatdown of the New York Giants this past Sunday as a four-point home favorite to improve to 6-7 straight-up and 7-5-1 against the spread. It now heads on the road with a 3-4 SU (3-3-1 ATS) record in seven previous road games. The total went OVER the 47-point line against the Giants after staying UNDER in three of its previous four games.

The Chargers are just a game back in the AFC wildcard race but would probably have to run the table in their final three games to secure a spot so the pressure is dialed-up high in their final road game of the year. They have shown the ability to pile up yards through the air with Philip Rivers at the helm with the fourth-best passing offense in the league and are ranked 13th in scoring with an average of 24.3 points a game. A concern in this matchup could be a defense that is ranked 28th in the NFL against the pass and 27th in total yards allowed.

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Denver keeps rolling towards the postseason and it took another step towards locking up the No. 1 seed in the conference with a 51-28 victory over Tennessee this past Sunday. At one point the Broncos trailed 21-10 in this game but they went on to easily cover as 13-point home favorites. They are now 11-2 SU on the year with an 8-5 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in 11 of their 13 games.

If you cannot stop them, then just outscore them. This has been Denver's winning formula for most of the season behind an offense that is averaging 39.6 points a game and a defense that is allowing an average of 26.5 points. Peyton Manning continues to lead the most prolific passing game in the league and the Broncos are ranked 14th in rushing yards per game with 124.4. One injury concern for Thursday could be wide receiver Wes Welker, who left the Titans game after taking a hit to the head and early reports are stating that he is doubtful on Thursday.

San Diego vs. Denver Betting Trends

The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last six games and the total has stayed UNDER in six of their last nine contests.

The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games at home. The total has now gone OVER in 12 of their last 14 games.

Head-to-head in this divisional rivalry, San Diego is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven road games against the Broncos and 5-2 SU. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings in Denver. Earlier this season the Chargers lost to Denver 28-20 as seven-point home underdogs. The total stayed UNDER the 56.5-point closing line.

Point Spread Pick

This game obviously means much more to San Diego and it does have the weapons to stay close in a shootout. The Chargers may not go into Mile High and get the SU win, but I really like their chances to cover with 10 points. I also like this game going OVER the total in a possible parlay play as long as weather is not a major factor on Thursday night.

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Take the San Diego Chargers +10

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