Sports Betting Stats

NFL Betting: Most Receiving Yards

Andre Johnson led the NFL in receiving last year and is deservedly the favorite on 2010 NFL futures. Calvin Johnson appears to be coming on strong, though, and makes a great value pick to be the player to have the most receiving yards in 2010-2011. Here's a breakdown of this year's receiving futures.

ANDRE JOHNSON, +375 Houston Texans

Johnson led the NFL in receiving last year with 1569 yards. It was his second straight year with 1500-plus yards, a very impressive feat. The biggest knock on Johnson is potential injury to Matt Schaub; the quarterback missed nine games in his first two years with Houston before finally going wire to wire last year.

LARRY FITZGERALD, +600 Arizona Cardinals

After back-to-back seasons with 1400-plus yards, Fitzgerald fell off to 1092 last year. He's a good bounce-back candidate despite the departure of Kurt Warner; not only is Warner gone, so is Anquan Boldin, free up more balls to come Fitz's way.

REGGIE WAYNE, +650 Indianapolis Colts

Wayne has been one of the steadier players over the past six years, surpassing 1100 yards five times in that span (and 1000 in the other). Unfortunately, his ceiling just isn't that high; he has only one 1500-plus season during the same time frame. There are just too many balls to share in Indy.

BRANDON MARSHALL, +675 Miami Dolphins

Despite catching 100 passes in each season, Marshall's yardage has declined in three consecutive seasons. That downward trend should end in 2010, as Marshall is now working with Chad Henne. The young quarterback has shown great potential and should thrive with a quality No. 1 target.

CALVIN JOHNSON, +850 Detroit Lions

A fantastic value pick at +850. Johnson is arguably the most talented receiver in the NFL. He has tremendous size (6'5", 235 lbs) but remains a very good deep threat, as his career 15.9 average per catch attests. This could be the breakout year we've been waiting for, as Matt Stafford and his cannon arm should take a step forward. Johnson also finally has some viable threats (Nate Burlson, Javid Best) to draw attention away from defenses. Expect a monster year.

OTHER NOTABLES

Randy Moss, Patriots, +850. A big gamble considering his age and corners on New England's offensive line-especially since you can get Calvin Johnson for the same price.

Greg Jennings, Packers, +1400. Jennings is the No. 1 target on a very, very explosive offense, but he'll have to contend with Jermichael Finely, among others, for balls. He'll have a nice season, but not nice enough to lead the NFL in yards.

Marques Colston, Saints, +1400. Colston is in a similar situation with Jennings, as New Orleans simply likes to spread the ball too much for him to have a major impact in receiving futures. Teammate Robert Meachem will steal some balls this year.

Miles Austin, Cowboys, +1400. Austin only had 91 yards in his first four games of the season before finishing with an NFL third-best 1320. It's tempting to put him in a category with Jennings and Colston, but Dez Bryant is a rookie dealing with an ankle injury and Roy Williams is still, well, Roy Williams. Austin has some nice value here as a long-shot.