Sports Betting Stats

Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Pick

Point spread: Dallas -3
Total line: 41

This week's edition of Monday Night Football features a prime-time NFC clash between the Chicago Bears and the Dallas Cowboys at Cowboys Stadium with each team coming in at 2-1 on the year. The game is set to kick-off at 8:30 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.

Game Overview

The last time that Chicago played a prime-time game its quarterback Jay Cutler received more attention for his actions on the sidelines than his performance on the field. The result was a 23-10 loss to Green Bay as a five-point road underdog. The Bears are 2-1 both straight-up and against the spread overall and the total has stayed UNDER in two of the three games.

Chicago's biggest concern on Monday night could be its running game with Matt Forte still listed as doubtful with an ankle injury. The Bears' offense has been ineffective in the past when forced to be one dimensional and that could very well be the case against the Cowboys. The weight would then fall on Chicago's defense which is ranked sixth in the NFL in yards allowed and fifth in points allowed.

It has been a mixed bag for Dallas so far with a 2-1 SU (1-2 ATS) start that includes an opening-day 24-17 victory over the Giants as a 3.5-point road underdog followed by an ugly 27-7 loss to Seattle as a three-point favorite on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in all three games.

The one constant through it all has been the play of quarterback Tony Romo. While he has not set the world on fire, the 10-year vet has completed 65 percent of his passes for 841 yards and four touchdowns but has been picked-off three times. The main problem on offense has been the Cowboy's inability to run the ball. They are ranked 28th in the league with an average of 76.7 yards a game. There are no real concerns on the defensive side of the ball other than a few injuries that have tapped its depth. Dallas is ranked first in the NFL in yards allowed and eighth in scoring.

Game Betting Trends

The Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win and the total has gone OVER in five of their last six games after winning SU.

The Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a SU win and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The total has stayed UNDER in their last six games.

Head-to-head, Dallas has won two of the last three meetings both SU and ATS dating all the way back to the 2004 season so these two teams are not very familiar with one another. Chicago won the last meeting 27-20 as a seven-point road underdog in 2010.

Game Prediction

This game sets up as a defensive struggle as both team's offense has had trouble putting points on the board while their defenses are among the stingiest in the league. I would lean towards the Cowboys and the three points at home, but the best play in this contest is on the UNDER 41 points.
Dallas 20 Chicago 17

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