Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl Betting
Fresno State vs. USC Betting Odds
Fresno State rolled through its season at 11-1 straight-up including a 24-17 victory over Utah State as 2.5-point home favorites in this past Saturday night's Mountain West title game. The Bulldogs only blemish was a stunning 62-52 loss to San Jose State on Nov. 29 as 10.5-point road favorites. They went 5-7 against the spread this season with the total staying UNDER in five of their last seven games.
Behind quarterback Derek Carr, the Bulldogs come into this matchup with the No. 1 ranked passing offense in the nation. It averaged 409.8 yards a game and Carr threw for a total of 4,866 yards and 48 touchdowns. He completed an impressive 70.1 percent of his 605 attempts and was picked off just seven times. He also did a good job at spreading the ball around, but his favorite target was Davante Adams, who led Fresno State with 122 receptions for 1,645 yards and 22 scores.
It was a roller coaster ride this season for USC that ended up costing Lane Kiffin his job as head coach. The Trojans started the year with three SU losses in their first seven games before reeling off a five-game winning streak. The final tally was a 9-4 SU record overall and a 6-3 SU mark in conference play after losing their season finale to rival UCLA 35-14 as 4.5-point home favorites. USC went 6-7 ATS and the total stayed UNDER in eight of the 13 games.
Consistency on offense has plagued this team all season long. Early in the year it managed just seven points in a bad loss to Washington State and then it proceeded to lose to Arizona State 62-41 three weeks later. Overall, USC averaged 28.5 points a game while allowing 21.3 points on defense. Cody Kessler went most of the way at quarterback and threw for 2,623 yards and 16 touchdowns and the ground game was led by Tre Madden and Javorious Allen, who combined for 1,402 yards and 15 scores.
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. USC Trojans Betting Trends
The Bulldogs have covered in three of their last four road games and five of their last eight games overall. The total has gone OVER in three of their last five games away from home.
The Trojans failed to cover in their last two games after going 5-1 ATS in their previous six outings. The total has gone OVER in three of their last five road games.
The last time these two teams met was in 2005 with USC coming out on top 50-42 but it failed to cover as a double-digit favorite at home.
Las Vegas Bowl Point Spread Pick
You would have to think that this game means much more to Fresno State, which was 11 points away from running the table this season, than it does to a USC team that faces another offseason of change and transition. Look for the Bulldogs to come out firing the ball down field as big plays rule the day in their SU upset of USC. Fresno State 38 USC 35