College Bowl Handicapping Trends

Friday, January 1, 2010

Outback Bowl at Tampa, Florida

Northwestern vs. Auburn
Line: Auburn -7

- Auburn is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
- Auburn is 1-8 ATS in their last nine games away from home, including neutral site games.
- Auburn is 4-15 ATS in their last 19 games as a favorite of 7+ points.
- Northwestern is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.
- Northwestern is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games away from home including neutral site games.
- Northwestern is 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog of 7+ points.
- Northwestern is 16-3 ATS away from home vs. an opponent coming off back-to-back SU losses.

Capital One Bowl at Orlando, Florida

Penn State vs. LSU
Line: Penn State -2.5

- LSU is 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- LSU is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 bowl games.
- LSU is 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a matchup with Arkansas.
- LSU is 10-22-3 ATS in their last 25 games.
- Penn State is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games away from home including neutral site games.
- Penn State is 1-5 ATS as a non-conference favorite of 10 points or less.
- Penn State is 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a SU win of 28+ points.

Konica Minolta Gator Bowl at Jacksonville, Florida

West Virginia vs. Florida State
Line: West Virginia -2.5

- Florida State is 3-8 ATS this season.
- Florida State is 5-0 ATS in their last five bowl games.
- Florida State is 8-4 ATS following a matchup with Florida.
- Florida State is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit SU loss.
- West Virginia is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
- West Virginia is 2-5 ATS in their last seven bowl games.
- West Virginia is 7-1 ATS as a favorite of less than 17 points after at least a week of rest.

Rose Bowl at Pasadena, California

Ohio State vs. Oregon
Line: Oregon -3.5

- Ohio State is 9-3 ATS this season and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games.
- Ohio State is 5-2 ATS in their last seven bowl games.
- Ohio State is 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Ohio State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit SU win.
- Ohio State is 7-2 ATS in their last nine games after allowing 10 points or less in their previous game.
- Oregon is 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games.
- Oregon is 6-3 ATS in their last nine bowl games.
- Oregon is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 30+ points in their previous game.
- Oregon is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring 30+ points in their previous game.
- Oregon is 7-2 ATS after at least one week of rest.

Allstate Sugar Bowl at New Orleans, Louisiana

Florida vs. Cincinnati
Line: Florida -12.5

- Cincinnati is 1-6 ATS in their last seven bowl games.
- Cincinnati is 12-1-2 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog.
- Cincinnati is 9-1 ATS after allowing 35+ points in their previous game.
- Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS as underdogs of 6+ points vs. a .600 or better opponent following a SU loss.
- Cincinnati is 0-9 ATS as underdogs of 10+ points vs. an opponent coming off a double-digit SU loss.
- Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in their last six games after scoring 30+ points in their previous game.
- Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games away from home including neutral site games.
- Florida is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games away from home including neutral site games.
- Florida is 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after scoring 16 points or less in their previous game.
- Florida is 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing 30+ points in their previous game.
- Florida is 12-1-1 ATS in their last 14 non-SEC matchups.


Saturday, January 2nd, 2010

International Bowl at Toronto, Ontario

South Florida vs. Northern Illinois
Line: South Florida -6.5

- Northern Illinois is 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Northern Illinois is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. non-MAC opponents.
- Northern Illinois is 8-2 ATS after a matchup with Central Michigan.
- Northern Illinois is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games away from home including neutral site games.
- Northern Illinois is 6-2 ATS after at least a week of rest.
- Northern Illinois is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
- South Florida is 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite.

PapaJohns.com Bowl at Birmingham, Alabama

South Carolina vs. Connecticut
Line: South Carolina -4.5

- Connecticut is 9-2 ATS this season.
- Connecticut is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games away from home including neutral site games.
- Connecticut is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Connecticut is 10-2 ATS after allowing 24+ points in their previous game.
- South Carolina is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a SU win of 17+ points.

AT&T Cotton Bowl at Arlington, Texas

Oklahoma State vs. Mississippi
Line: Mississippi -3

- Mississippi is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games.
- Mississippi is 7-1 ATS in their last eight non-SEC encounters.
- Mississippi is 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.
- Mississippi is 6-1 ATS in their last seven bowl games.
- Mississippi is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as favorites after allowing 35+ points in their previous game.
- Mississippi is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a SU loss of 14+ points.
- Oklahoma State is 5-10-2 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog and 9-19-2 ATS in their last 30 games in the same scenario.
- Oklahoma State is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games vs. an opponent coming off a SU loss as a favorite.

AutoZone Liberty Bowl at Memphis, Tennessee

Arkansas vs. East Carolina
Line: Arkansas -7.5

- Arkansas is 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games.
- Arkansas is 3-6 ATS in their last nine bowl games and 1-5 ATS in their last six as a favorite.
- Arkansas is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of 7+ points.
- East Carolina is 0-7 ATS in their last seven non-C-USA matchups.
- East Carolina is 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog.
- East Carolina is 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games away from home including neutral site games.
- East Carolina is 11-1 ATS as an underdog of 3+ points following a SU/ATS win.
- East Carolina is 1-9 ATS after at least a week of rest following a SU win.
- East Carolina is 1-7 ATS following a matchup with Houston.

Valero Alamo Bowl at San Antonio, Texas

Michigan State vs. Texas Tech
Line: Texas Tech -8

- Michigan State is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog.
- Michigan State is 3-6 ATS after a matchup with Penn State.
- Michigan State is 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 games.
- Michigan State is 0-5 ATS as an underdog after allowing 35+ points in their previous game.
- Michigan State is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games following a double-digit SU loss.
- Michigan State is 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 non-Big 10 matchups.
- Texas Tech is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 bowl games.
- Texas Tech is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite.
- Texas Tech is 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 13 points or less in their previous game.
- Texas Tech is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games away from home including neutral site games.

Monday, January 4th, 2010

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl at Glendale, Arizona

Boise State vs. TCU
Line: TCU -7.5

- Boise State is 6-3 ATS in their last nine bowl games.
- Boise State is 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games as an underdog.
- Boise State is 11-5-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing nine points or less in their previous game.
- Boise State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring 40+ points in their previous game.
- Boise State is 19-9-2 ATS in their last 30 games.
- TCU is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games.
- TCU is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 bowl games.
- TCU is 9-0 ATS after scoring 50+ points in their previous game.
- TCU is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.

Tuesday, January 5th, 2010

FedEx Orange Bowl at Miami, Florida

Iowa vs. Georgia Tech
Line: Georgia Tech -3.5

- Georgia Tech is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a bowl favorite.
- Georgia Tech is 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite.
- Georgia Tech is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games away from home including neutral site games.
- Georgia Tech is 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games after scoring 35+ points in their previous game.
- Iowa is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 bowl games.
- Iowa is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog.
- Iowa is 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-Big 10 matchups.
- Iowa is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing 10 points or less in their previous game.
- Iowa is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after scoring 17 points or less in their previous game.

Wednesday, January 6th, 2010

GMAC Bowl at Mobile, Alabama

Troy vs. Central Michigan
Line: Central Michigan -3.5

- Central Michigan is 9-3 ATS this season.
- Central Michigan is 29-14-3 ATS in their last 46 games.
- Central Michigan is 7-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
- Central Michigan is 5-0 ATS in their last five games after a matchup with Ohio.
- Central Michigan is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing 10 points or less in their previous game.
- Troy is 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Troy is 8-4 ATS this season.
- Troy is 5-0 ATS after a matchup with Louisiana-Lafayette.
- Troy is 28-13 ATS in their last 41 games.
- Troy is 2-5 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.

Citi BCS National Championship Game at Pasadena, California

Texas vs. Alabama
Line: Alabama -4

- Alabama is 2-6 ATS in their last eight bowl games.
- Alabama is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.
- Alabama is 8-4 ATS this season.
- Alabama is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games away from home including neutral site games.
- Alabama is 6-3 ATS in their last nine non-SEC matchups.
- Texas is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 bowl games.
- Texas is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
- Texas is 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games after a matchup with Nebraska.
- Texas is 6-3 ATS in their last nine games after allowing 12 points or less in their previous game.