Point Spread: Nichigan State (-6)
Game Total Line: (116)
The Wisconsin Badgers will look to avenge an earlier overtime loss to the surging Michigan State Spartans when the two Big Ten powers collide this Thursday night at the Jack Breslin Student Event Center in East Lansing. This game is set to tip-off at 7 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.
Wisconsin’s only loss in its last eight games was a 58-52 setback to then-No.3 Ohio State on Feb.4 as a 3.5-point home underdog. It is currently 19-6 straight-up overall and 8-4 SU in conference play. The Badgers are 13-9 against the spread this season and a healthy 7-3 ATS on the road. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 14 of 22 games overall and is an even 5-5 on the road.
The Badgers are by no means one of the flashiest teams in the top 25 with an average of just 64.1 points a game, but their grind-it-out style of defense has them ranked first in the nation in points allowed; giving-up an average of just 50.3 points a game. This average has crept-up over the past few weeks, but Wisconsin has not given-up more than 65 points in any of its past 10 games.
Michigan State seized control of the Big Ten standings with an impressive 58-48 victory over Ohio State this past Saturday as an 8.5-point road underdog. Both teams now have three losses in the conference and will play each other again in the final regular season game of the season.
Overall, the Spartans are 20-5 SU and 15-7 ATS, with the total going 10-11-1 in the 22 games. They are a perfect 15-0 SU at home this season and 9-3 ATS. The total has gone ‘over’ in seven of the 12 games. Michigan State’s recent trends have been profitable as well with a 5-1 ATS record in its last six games overall with the total staying ‘under’ in four of the games.
The Spartans have been known for their defense as well; holding opponents to an average of 58.6 points a game, but their offense is much more potent than Wisconsin’s; scoring an average of 73.2 points a game while shooting 47.2 percent from the field.
The Badgers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win and the total has stayed ‘under’ in 12 of their last 17 games following a win SU.
The Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a SU win and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win. The total has gone ‘over’ in seven of their last nine games at home.
The home team in this series is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings and Wisconsin is 1-5 ATS in its last six trips to East Lancing
Michigan State won 63-60 in overtime on Jan.3 as a 6.5-point road underdog, but things will not be nearly as close this time around as a home favorite.
Take Michigan State -6 at 5Dimes and get reduced juice.
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