Louisville Cardinals vs. Kentucky Wildcats Odds
The West Region champion Louisville Cardinals and the South Region champion Kentucky Wildcats take their long-running in-state feud to New Orleans for the first game of Saturday's Final Four double-header in this year's NCAA Men's Tournament. This Big East-SEC clash is slated to tip-off at 6:09 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on CBS.
Louisville's four-game route to the Final Four included victories over No.1-seed Michigan State and No.7-seed Florida as an underdog. The Cardinals are now 22-13-1 against the spread overall this season and 14-5 ATS in their 19 games away from home. The total has stayed ‘under' in 12 of the 19 games on the road.
This team has gotten this far the old-fashioned way; playing shutdown defense that has only allowed an average of 56.3 points a game in a combined eight Big East and NCAA tournament games. The Cardinals have only given-up more than 70 points once in their last 12 games dating back to the end of February. They are a perfect 8-0 ATS in tournament play.
Kentucky's pursuit of a national title has almost been flawless with four victories by a combined 55 points. The Wildcats capped-off their run through the South with a dominating 82-70 victory over No.3-seed Baylor as 7.5-point favorites in the region finals this past Sunday. They are now 15-21-1 ATS on the year, but 3-1 ATS in NCAA tournament play. Kentucky is 10-9 ATS on the road this season with the total staying ‘under' in 12 of the 19 games.
The Wildcats motive of operation in the month of March has been to overwhelm their competition with a barrage of points. They have averaged 78 points in their last nine games and 88 points a game in this tournament which has been dialed-up from a season average of 77.1 points a game. Kentucky has six players scoring in double figures led by Anthony Davis's 14.3 points and Doron Lamb's 13.6 points a game.
Louisville is 21-6 ATS in its last 27 games following an ATS win and 7-2 ATS in its last nine games as an underdog. The total has stayed ‘under' in six of its last seven NCAA Tournament games.
Kentucky is 3-11-1 ATS in its last 15 non-conference games, but 11-4 ATS in its last 15 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. The total has stayed ‘under' in five of its last six games against the Big East.
The Cardinals are 2-6 both SU and ATS in the last eight meetings including a 69-62 loss earlier this season as 10-point road underdogs. The total has stayed ‘under' in eight of the last 10 games between the two.
Spread Betting Pick
. Louisville's tenacious defense should be able to keep this game fairly close into the second half, but Kentucky's overall depth and level of talent prove to be just too much to overcome.