Point Spread: Denver (-1)
Total Line: (196)
(wagering lines available at Betonline.com)
The Dallas Mavericks will be back in action this Wednesday night after three days rest to square-off against the Denver Nuggets at the Pepsi Center. The tip-off for this Western Conference clash is slated for 9 p.m. (ET) and the game will be available on NBA League Pass.
Dallas comes into this matchup reeling from three-straight losses as a favorite including a 91-88 setback to Cleveland this past Saturday as a 5.5-point road favorite. The loss dropped the Mavericks to 14-11 both straight-up and against the spread on the year. They are now 5-6 SU (6-5 ATS) on the road and the total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of the 11 games.
Scoring has suddenly become issue for a Dallas team that averaged 113 points a game in three previous wins before this recent three-game slide. It failed to score more than 88 points in any of the losses and is now averaging 93.8 points a game which is ranked 17th in the league. The Mavs are shooting 43.9 percent from the field and 32.2 percent from three-point range.
Denver’s current losing streak reached three games with a 99-90 loss to Houston on Monday night as a 6.5-point home favorite. After a fast start, the Nuggets have now lost five of their last six games to fall to 15-10 both SU and ATS. They are 7-5 SU (6-6 ATS) at home this season and the total has stayed ‘under’ in eight of the 12 games.
The Nuggets still lead the NBA in scoring with 104 points a game, but they have been held to an average of 95.6 points in their last five losses. To make matters worse, Denver is ranked 25th in the league in points allowed; giving-up 99.3 points a game. One injury note, both Nene and Danilo Gallinari remain questionable for Wednesday night’s game after sustaining minor injuries in Monday’s loss to the Rockets.
The Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss and 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU loss. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of their last seven games on the road.
The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a SU loss. The total has stayed ‘under’ in four of their last five home games.
The underdog in this series is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone ‘over’ in two of the last three games. These two met in late December with Denver rolling to a 115-93 victory as a 4.5-point road underdog.
Look for Dallas to break out of its scoring slump and return the favor with a win on the road this time around.
Take the Dallas Mavericks +1 at Bovada
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