Free Baseball Pick - New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets (37-37) at Milwaukee Brewers (40-35) 7:15 PM ET Monday June 29, 2009 on ESPN
The Brewers are favored in this game with moneylines posted at -130 with the Mets posted at +110 with a total of 9.
This is an important series for both teams, as each team is in the thick of their division race. Both teams are not playing great baseball lately, as each team is only 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Mets have lost 3 games in a row, as they were recently swept by the cross town Yankees at home. The Mets are now 2.5 games back of the Philadelphia Phillies in the NL East and the Brewers are tied with the St. Louis Cardinals for the lead in the NL Central. This season the Brewers are 20-17 at home and the Mets are 15-20 on the road. Even though the Brewers are 3 games above .500 at home this season they have lost 4 straight at Miller Park.
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The Brewers come into this game after losing yesterday to the San Francisco Giants 7-0. In that game the Brewers bats were silent, as they were blanked on 4 hits and left 7 men on base. They allowed the Giants to score 7 runs on 13 hits. The Mets also lost, as they were beat by the Yankees, who completed the sweep in the series, 4-2. In that game the Mets scored 2 runs on 5 hits and left 9 men on base. The Yankees only had 4 hits in the game, but scored 4 runs in the win.
Taking the mound tonight for the Brewers is Braden Looper (5-4) 5.16 ERA who in his last outing went 6 innings and gave up 3 earned runs in a no decision. Taking the hill for the Mets is Fernando Nieve (3-0 1.31 ERA) who in his last outing was stellar going 6 innings and giving up 0 earned runs in a win.
The Mets have just the guy on the mound to snap their losing streak, as Nieve has a microscopic ERA and is looking to win his 4th start in a row. On the other side of the diamond Looper is struggling big time lately, as he is winless in June going 0-1 in 5 starts with an ERA of 7.18. Looper has not won a game since May 29th. The Mets are still hurting, as they are without the injured Carlos Beltran, Carlos Delgado and Jose Reyes. Nieve will have to deal with a Brewers offense that has scored the 3rd most runs in the NL and led by Prince Fielder, who is on fire lately going 16 for 45 with 4 HR and 17 RBI’s in his last 12 games. The Mets have to keep this a low scoring game since their offense is struggling.
Staff Pick: Look for the Mets to snap their streak tonight, as Nieve will have a solid outing. I think this will be a low scoring game so taking the Under may also be a good pick.
Mets 5 Brewers 2
Free Basketball Playoff Pick - Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers
Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers -7.5 O/U 190 8:30 PM ET Thursday May 28, 2009 on TNT
The Magic lead this best of 7 series 3-1.
Tonight the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Orlando Magic in game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Cavs have their backs against the wall, as they are down 3-1 in this series after losing in OT on Tuesday night in Orlando. The reasons the Cavs are down in this series are that they cannot figure out how to play D on the Magic and their supporting cast has let LeBron down. All Star Mo Williams has struggled all series and even though he did score 15 points in game 4 he was only 5/15 from the floor and he did not hit one of his 3 3-pt shots. The Magic have played great, as when the Cavs pack the lane to stop Dwight Howard the Magic are bombing away from downtown and when the Cavs leave the lane to stop the 3-point shot Howard dominates inside. Howard scored 10 points in the OT period and he dominated the glass in the game going for 14 boards. The Cavs have to find a way to defend the long ball, as in game 4 the Magic shot 17/38 from beyond the 3-pt line for a scorching 3-pt FG% of 44.7%. The Cavs are down to their last game, as they have to step up on defense and have another scorer besides LeBron or they will be watching the NBA finals from home.
The Magic won game 4 on Tuesday night in Orlando 116-114 in OT. For the game the Magic shot 40/80 for a FG% of 50% while the Cavs shot 39/87 from the floor for a FG% of 44.8%. This season the Magic ranked 4th in scoring (101 ppg) and the Cavaliers ranked 13th (100.3 ppg). On D the Cavaliers were the best in the league ranking 1st in points allowed (91.3 ppg) and the Magic ranked 6th (94.4 ppg).
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Unlike the Cavs the supporting cast of the Magic are playing great and in game 4. Rafer Alston played great going for 26 points on 10/17 shooting including going 6/12 from beyond the 3-pt line and reserve Mickael Pietrus scored 17 points. The Cavs have to shoot better from downtown, as in game 4 they were only 6/22 for a 3-pt FG% of 27.3%. In game 4 the Cavs had had more rebounds, more offensive rebounds, twice as many steals, and fewer turnovers and they still lost the game. The Magic are one win away from the NBA finals and unless the Cavs can play like they did in the regular season Orlando will get there.
Staff Pick: The Cavs are in an unfamiliar position being on the brink of elimination, but they are at home tonight and they are too good a team to go quietly. Look for Mo Williams to snap out of his series-long slump, as he will help James out tonight and the Cavs will win this game, cover the spread, and get back into this series.
Cavs 98 Magic 90
Free Basketball Playoff Pick - Denver Nuggets at L.A. Lakers
Denver Nuggets at L.A. Lakers -6 O/U 209.5 9 PM ET Wednesday May 27, 2009 on ESPN
This best of 7 series is tied at 2 games apiece.
Tonight in game 5 in the Western Conference Finals the Denver Nuggets are in Tinsel-Town to play the L.A. Lakers. When the normally soft-spoken Pau Gasol sounds off you know he is not happy. After game 4 he complained about not being more involved and he has a point, as he did not get many touches late in the game even though he scored 21 points on 8/11 shooting for the game. In the series he has only taken 40 shots and has shot just over 62% from the floor. Kobe was the high scorer in game 4, but he was only 10/26 from the field and 2/10 from beyond the 3-point arc. The Nuggets have to play a great team game tonight like they did in game 4 when every starter scored at least 12 points. However, Melo has to have a better game tonight, as in game 4 he only scored 15 points on 3/16 shooting including not hitting one of his 6 3-pointers.
The Nuggets handed a beat down to the Lakers in game 4 in Denver beating them 120-101 on Monday night. For the game the Nuggets shot 38/86 for a FG% of 44.2% while the Lakers did not shoot well going 34/82 from the floor for a FG% of 41.5%. This season the ranked 3rd in scoring (106.7 ppg) and the Nuggets ranked 6th (104.3 ppg). On D the Nuggets allowed 100.9 ppg and the Lakers gave up an average of 99.1 ppg.
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Besides feeding the ball to Gasol more the Lakers should also feed Andrew Bynum tonight, as he had a solid game 4 scoring 14 points on 6/7 shooting. 6th man J.R. Smith was on fire in game 4 going for 24 points on 9/17 shooting and the Lakers need to play better D on him, as he gives a big spark for the Nuggets when he scores big coming off the bench. One of the main reasons the Lakers were schooled in game was the fact they were killed on the boards being out-rebounded 58-40 including getting out-rebounded on the offensive glass 20-9. The Lakers frontcourt Pau Gasol, Lamar Odom and Andrew Bynum were totally dominated by the Nuggets' frontcourt of Nene, Kenyon Martin and Chris Andersen, being out-rebounded 42-25. Lamar Odom also needs to give the Lakers some offense tonight, as in game 4 he played 30 minutes and was only 1/8 from the floor only scoring 5 points.
Staff Pick: The Lakers have to get Gasol and Bynum more involved tonight and Odom has to give them some offense. Look for that to happen tonight, as Gasol will have a big game and Kobe will not have to do it all. The Lakers will win this game, cover the spread, and take a 3-2 lead in this series.
Lakers 112 Nuggets 104
Free Basketball Playoff Pick - L.A. Lakers at Denver Nuggets
L.A. Lakers +4 at Denver Nuggets -4 O/U 209 PM Monday May 25, 2009 on ESPN
The Lakers lead the Nuggets in this best of 7 series 2-1.
The L.A. Lakers are in Denver to play the Nuggets tonight in game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. The Lakers regained the home court advantage in this series with a win in game 3, as the Nuggets were ice cold from the floor. Carmelo Anthony, Chauncey Billups, and 6th man J.R. Smith combined to shoot only 13/43 from the floor. The Nuggets were also cold from 3-point land only shooting 5/27 for a 3-PT FG% of 18.5%. The Nuggets did have a 9-point lead heading into the 4th quarter of game 3, but they were out-scored 32-16 in the final period. If the Nuggets do not shoot better tonight they will be heading back to L.A. down 3-1 in this series.
The Lakers won game 3 on Saturday night 103-97 to take a 2-1 lead in this series. For the game the Lakers shot 33/72 from the floor for a FG% of 45.8% while the Nuggets shot 33/84 for a weak FG% of 39.3%. This season the ranked 3rd in scoring (106.7 ppg) and the Nuggets ranked 6th (104.3 ppg). On D the Nuggets allowed 100.9 ppg and the Lakers gave up an average of 99.1 ppg.
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The game 3 loss was the first for the Nuggets at home in this post season. Kobe Bryant did have a big game going for 41 points, but Pau Gasol and Trevor Ariza who combined for 36 points helped him out on offense. The Lakers did win in the last game, but they have to shoot better for the charity stripe, as they were only 31/45 for a FT% of 68.9%. However, Kobe was legit in getting to the line and knocking down his free throws, as he was 15/17 in game 3. Kenyon Martin struggled in game 3 only going for 6 points on 3/10 shooting and not attempting one free throw. He has to be more physical tonight and give the Nuggets some inside scoring, so it opens up the floor for Denver's long-range shooters. It is simple for the Nuggets, as they have to shoot the rock better tonight or they may be in trouble in this series, as coming back from 3-1 against the Lakers will be almost impossible.
Staff Pick: Even though the Nuggets will shoot better tonight Kobe and company finally played a good game and they will repeat that performance tonight. The Lakers will win this game in a minor upset and take a 3-1 lead in this series.
Lakers 105 Nuggets 103
Free Basketball Playoff Pick - Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic
Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic -1.5 O/U 190 8:30 PM ET Sunday May 24, 2009 on TNT
This best of 7 series is tied 1-1
The Cavaliers beat the Magic in game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals, as LeBron James nailed a game winning 3-pointer as time expired. How could the Magic allow King James to take that shot to win the game? The Magic still have home court advantage in this series, but they have to get past game 2, which they should have won. Even though the Cavs won game 2 their defense was still not up to par, as the Magic shot just under 48% from the floor and they shot 43.5% from beyond the 3-point arc. Dwight Howard dominated the glass in game 2 grabbing 18 boards, but he only scored 10 points. Hedo Turkoglu and Rashard Lewis have played great in this series and the Cavs have to play better defense on them tonight. King James had another good outing in game 2, but he still needs help on the offensive end of the floor.
The Cavs won game 2 96-95 on Friday night with a buzzer beating 3-pointer from LeBron James. For the game the Cavs shot 35/77 for a FG% of 45.5% and the Magic shot 34/71 from the floor for a FG% of 47.9%. This season the Magic ranked 4th in scoring (101 ppg) and the Cavaliers ranked 13th (100.3 ppg). On D the Cavaliers were the best in the league ranking 1st in points allowed (91.3 ppg) and the Magic ranked 6th (94.4 ppg).
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The addition of Mo Williams this season gave the Cavs a 2nd scorer they have lacked in recent years. In game 2 Williams did score 19 points, but he only shot 7/21 from the floor and only hit 1 of his 6 3-pointers. The perimeter players of Cleveland have to keep the Magic's long range shooters from getting open look from deep, as the Magic have been legit from 3-point land all series. One of the reasons the Cavs won game 2 is that they out-rebounded the Magic 38-30. Cavs C Zydrunas Ilgauskas went for 12 points and grabbed 15 boards in game 2 and he has to play like that again tonight for Cleveland to take back home court advantage. The Magic have exposed the lack of depth of the Cavs and their bench has to help the starters out. The Cavs have to get back to playing solid D and not allow the Magic to shoot lights out yet again. Cleveland also has to hold onto a big lead if they get it, as in game 2 they were up by as much as 23 points and allowed the Magic to come back. Howard has to get more involved on the offensive end and open up the court for the shooters of the Magic.
Staff Pick: The Cavs have yet to play a good game on defense, but they will do so tonight. Look for the Cavs to play solid D and not allow the Magic to shoot a high FG%, as they will win this game and take a 2-1 lead in this series.
Cavaliers 96 Magic 93
Free Basketball Playoff Pick - Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers
Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers -9 O/U 188 8:30 PM ET Friday May 22, 2009 on TNT
The Magic lead this best of 7 series 1-0.
The Magic shocked the Cavs by winning game 1 and the Cavs need to win this game tonight, as they will be in major trouble if the lose this game and head to Orlando down 2-0 in this series. The Cavs had the best defense in the NBA this year, but in game 1 the Magic put up 107 points on them and allowed them to shoot just over 55% from the field. The Cavs were up by 15 points at halftime and let the Magic back into the game, as in the 2nd half the Magic shot 59% from the field, went 7/13 on 3-pointers and outscored Cleveland 59-43. One of the main reasons that the Cavs lost is that their 2nd and 3rd scoring options had a bad game, as Delonte West and Mo Williams combined for 28 points and only shot a combined 10/29 from the floor including only hitting 5 of 16 3-pointers. King James did have a huge game going for 49 points, but he needs some help tonight on the offensive end of the court.
The Magic won game 1 on Wednesday night 107-106. For the game the Magic shot well going 43/78 for a FG% of 55.1% and the Cavs shot 43/88 for a FG% of 48.9%. This season the Magic ranked 4th in scoring (101 ppg) and the Cavaliers ranked 13th (100.3 ppg). On D the Cavaliers were the best in the league ranking 1st in points allowed (91.3 ppg) and the Magic ranked 6th (94.4 ppg).
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Cleveland needs to get back to their bread and butter, which is playing solid defense. Dwight Howard had a big game (30 points 13 rebounds), but his supporting cast was huge, as Hedo Turkoglu had 15 points and 14 assists and Rashard Lewis scored 22 points on 9/13 shooting and hit the game winning shot. The Cleveland Bench was non-existent in game 1, as they had a grand total of 5 points. Even though the Magic won game 1 they have to hold onto the rock better, as they had 13 turnovers and the Cavs only had 5. Cleveland has to play better perimeter defense and not allow the Magic to have open looks from deep, as in game 1 the Magic shot a 3-pt FG% of 45%. All the pressure is on the Cavs tonight, as this is a must win game for them.
Staff Pick: The Cavs have to play better D tonight and they will do just that, as they will win this game, cover the spread, and tie this series at a game apiece.
Cavaliers 99 Magic 89
Free Basketball Playoff Pick - Denver Nuggets at L.A. Lakers
Denver Nuggets at L.A. Lakers -5.5 O/U 210.5 9 PM ET Tuesday May 19, 2009 on ESPN
Lakers lead this best of 7 series 1-0.
Tonight the Denver Nuggets are in L.A. to play the Lakers in game 2 of the Western Conference finals. The Lakers stole game 1 after trailing for most of the game and Kobe Bryant was the reason going for 40 points and scoring 16 points in the 4th quarter including hitting 6 clutch free throws in the last 30 seconds of the game. The Nuggets have to get over that loss and that will be tough, as they should have won game 1. Carmelo Anthony had a great game going for 39 points, 4/5 from beyond the 3-point line, and grabbing 6 boards. The Nuggets have to hit their free throws tonight, as in game 1 they only lost by 2 points and they only shot a FT% of 65.7%. The Lakers did not play their best game and they still won, but to take a 2-0 lead in this series the other Lakers have to help Kobe out and not make him bail them out.
The Lakers beat the Nuggets 105-103 on Monday night in game 1. For the game the Lakers shot 37/90 for a FG% of 41.1% while the Nuggets shot 36/74 for a FG% of 48.6%. This season the ranked 3rd in scoring (106.7 ppg) and the Nuggets ranked 6th (104.3 ppg). On D the Nuggets allowed 100.9 ppg and the Lakers gave up an average of 99.1 ppg.
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J.R. Smith sprained his knee in game 1, but he will play tonight. Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum were outscored by the inside duo of Nene and Kenyon Martin 29-19. Gasol was solid on the boards grabbing 14 in game 1, but he has to give the Lakers more offense tonight. Lamar Odom also has to provide some offense, as in game 1 he only had 7 points in 33 minutes. Chauncey Billups did score 18 points in game 1, but he was only 5/13 from the field including only hitting 2 of his 7 3 point bombs. The Nuggets have to play better perimeter defense tonight and not allow the Lakers to have open looks, as in game 1 Kobe and Derek Fisher combined to go 5/9 from 3-point land.
Staff Pick: The Lakers did not bring their A game in game 1 and they will have to play better tonight or they will go back to Denver tied in this series. Look for the supporting cast of the Lakers to play better tonight, as they will win this game, cover the spread, and take a 2-0 lead in this series.
Lakers 110 Nuggets 103
Free Basketball Playoff Pick - Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers
Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers -9 O/U 184 8:30 PM ET Wednesday May 20, 2009 on TNT
In game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals tonight the Orlando Magic are in Cleveland to play the Cavaliers. The Cavs have yet to lose in the post season, as they have only played 8 playoff games while the Magic have played 13. Dwight Howard and LeBron James are the main guys, but this game and series may depend on what supporting cast plays better. In game 7 in Boston the Magic were on fire shooting over 60% from 3-pt land and if they do that tonight they have a shot at the major upset. Not only are the Cavs are on fire in the playoffs they also only lost 2 games all season at home. However, the Cavs biggest loss of the season came at the hands of the Magic. In the 4 game season series each won 2 games both on their home court. Home court advantage will be huge in this series.
The Magic come into this game after beating the Celtics in game 7 on Sunday night 101-82. For the game the Magic shot 36/70 for a FG% of 51.4%. The Cavs come into this game after beating the Atlanta Hawks 84-74 last Monday. For the game the Cavs shot 30/70 for a FG% of 42.9%. This season the Magic ranked 4th in scoring (101 ppg) and the Cavaliers ranked 13th (100.3 ppg). On D the Cavaliers were the best in the league ranking 1st in points allowed (91.3 ppg) and the Magic ranked 6th (94.4 ppg).
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The Cavs were a better rebounding team this season (+3.3 rpg to +1.1 rpg) and if the win the battle of the boards tonight they should have no problem winning this game. The Cavs have to play good perimeter D tonight and not let the Magic fire 3-pointers all night. Rashard Lewis and Hedo Turkoglu have to help Howard out on offense and Mo Williams and Delonte West have to help LeBron on offense. Rafer Alston had his problems with turnovers in the Boston series and he needs to hold onto the rock tonight and not give the ball away, which will lead to easy points for the Cavs. The Cavs have not played since last Monday night, so they will be well rested. However, teams that have long layoffs tend to struggle after long layoffs.
Staff Pick: The Cavs have been on fire all post season, but will the long layoff cool them down? Not likely. King James has one goal, which is to win the title this season and the Cavs will get off to a good start in this series, as they will win this game, cover the spread, and take a 1-0 lead in this series.
Cavaliers 93 Magic 82
Free Basketball Playoff Pick - Denver Nuggets at L.A. Lakers
Denver Nuggets at L.A. Lakers -6.5 9 PM ET Tuesday May 19, 2009 on ESPN
In the first game of the Western Conference finals the Denver Nuggets are in L.A. to play the Lakers tonight. Both of these teams are high scoring ones, but the team that can play some defense may win this series. The Lakers held the Rockets to 36.8% shooting in game 7 on Sunday while the Nuggets allowed the Mavericks to shoot 51.4% in the closing game in that series last Wednesday. Andrew Bynum disappeared in the Rockets series, with the exception of game 5, and he needs to give the Lakers some offense and rebounding in this series. Kobe vs. Melo is the main draw in this series, but it may come down to how Pao Gasol and Chauncey Billups play. If Gasol steps up and Kobe does not have to take a ton of shots the Lakers will be tough to beat. The Nuggets have not won in La La Land against the Lakers since the 2004-2005 season, are 1-10 against them in the last 2 seasons, and were swept by them in last year's playoffs. Most people have penciled the Lakers in the finals, but the Nuggets can prove they are a legit contender with a win at the Staples Center tonight.
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The Lakers come into this game after beating the Houston Rockets in game 7 on Sunday 89-70. For the game the Lakers shot 35/75 for a FG% of 46.7%. The Nuggets come into this game after beating the Dallas Mavericks in game 5 of that series 124-110 on Wednesday night. For the game the Nuggets shot 48/82 for a scorching FG% of 58.5%. This season the ranked 3rd in scoring (106.7 ppg) and the Nuggets ranked 6th (104.3 ppg). On D the Nuggets allowed 100.9 ppg and the Lakers gave up an average of 99.1 ppg.
Nene and Kenyon Martin will have to give the Nuggets some offense and keep Gasol, Lamar Odom, and Andrew Bynum from dominating the glass. For the Lakers it is all about motivation, as if they bring their A game they will not be beat. It is hard to imagine they would not be motivated for this game, but they did lose game 1 at home in the last series against the Rockets. The Nuggets like to run and gun and if the Lakers can slow down the pace and make it a half-court game they have a big advantage in this game.
Staff Pick: The Nuggets have had six days off, while the Lakers last played on Sunday. Look for the Nuggets to be a little rusty and for the Lakers to be solid on defense tonight. The Lakers will win this game, cover the spread, and take a 1-0 lead in this series.
Lakers 103 Nuggets 96
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